WNBA game preview

Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsSep 24, 2026, 10:00 PM EDT
Market coverage5 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 24, 2:20 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Las Vegas Aces 92.1–82.6 over Phoenix Mercury, a 9.5-point margin. The consensus total is 174.7, with Phoenix Mercury +9.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Las Vegas Aces -355 and Phoenix Mercury +355. Fanatics’s tracked -420 price on Las Vegas Aces carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Las Vegas Aces-35578.0%-420Fanatics
Phoenix Mercury+35522.0%

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

D

WNBA

Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury

-105theScore

Under 174.5

Estimated edge
1.2%
Fair odds
-110
Starts
Sep 24, 10:00 PM EDT
D

WNBA

Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury

-420Fanatics

Las Vegas Aces Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.1%
Fair odds
-452
Starts
Sep 24, 10:00 PM EDT