Positive expected value

Today’s strongest value estimates, explained

Compare current prices with Edge’s market-based fair-odds estimate. Review selected opportunities here, then open Edge for more markets, filters, and alerts.

Latest opportunities

Selected +EV opportunities

Sorted by grade and estimated edge using the latest available market snapshot.

A

NHL

Josh Doan

-110PrizePicks

Under 1.5 Assists

Estimated edge
23.1%
Fair odds
-307
Starts
Oct 31, 4:00 PM EDT
A

NHL

Josh Doan

-110PrizePicks

Under 0.5 Assists

Estimated edge
23.1%
Fair odds
-307
Starts
Oct 31, 4:00 PM EDT
A

NHL

Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche

+953Polymarket

Calgary Flames -1.5

Estimated edge
20.8%
Fair odds
+230
Starts
Oct 31, 10:10 PM EDT
A

NHL

Tyler Bertuzzi

-110PrizePicks

Under 1.5 Assists

Estimated edge
19.3%
Fair odds
-253
Starts
Oct 31, 1:00 PM EDT
A

NHL

Tyler Bertuzzi

-110PrizePicks

Under 0.5 Assists

Estimated edge
19.3%
Fair odds
-253
Starts
Oct 31, 1:00 PM EDT
A

NHL

Jonathan Marchessault

-110PrizePicks

Under 1.5 Assists

Estimated edge
17.2%
Fair odds
-228
Starts
Oct 31, 2:00 PM EDT
A

NHL

Jonathan Marchessault

-110PrizePicks

Under 0.5 Assists

Estimated edge
17.2%
Fair odds
-228
Starts
Oct 31, 2:00 PM EDT
A

NFL

Deshaun Watson

-110PrizePicks

Over 0.5 Pass TDs

Estimated edge
14.4%
Fair odds
-201
Starts
Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST
A

NFL

Bo Nix

-110PrizePicks

Under 1.5 Pass TDs

Estimated edge
14.3%
Fair odds
-200
Starts
Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
A

WNBA

Tiffany Hayes

-110PrizePicks

Under 1.5 3-pointers made

Estimated edge
14.2%
Fair odds
-199
Starts
Oct 31, 8:00 PM EDT
A

NBA

Dylan Harper

-110PrizePicks

Under 3.5 3-pointers made

Estimated edge
13.1%
Fair odds
-190
Starts
Oct 31, 8:00 PM EDT

Updated every few minutes with a limited selection. Odds move quickly, so confirm the current price before placing any wager.

How it works

From market prices to an Edge grade

Edge converts available sportsbook prices to implied probabilities, compares the market, estimates fair odds, and measures the gap between that estimate and the offered price.

Read the full methodology →
  1. 01

    Collect the market

    Compare available prices across supported sportsbooks, pick’em apps, and prediction markets.

  2. 02

    Estimate fair odds

    Convert prices to implied probabilities and use the cross-book market as the baseline estimate.

  3. 03

    Measure the gap

    Compare each offered price with fair odds and assign an A–F grade using published thresholds.

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