WNBA game preview

Dallas Wings at Phoenix Mercury

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsSep 21, 2026, 10:00 PM EDT
Market coverage2 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 20, 5:17 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Dallas Wings 89.3–82.8 over Phoenix Mercury, a 6.5-point margin. The consensus total is 172.1, with Phoenix Mercury +6.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Dallas Wings -203 and Phoenix Mercury +203. BetMGM’s tracked +200 price on Phoenix Mercury carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Dallas Wings-20367.0%
Phoenix Mercury+20333.0%+200BetMGM

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

WNBA

Dallas Wings @ Phoenix Mercury

-106Caesars

Over 172.5

Estimated edge
1.4%
Fair odds
-112
Starts
Sep 21, 10:00 PM EDT
D

WNBA

Dallas Wings @ Phoenix Mercury

+200BetMGM

Phoenix Mercury Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.0%
Fair odds
+191
Starts
Sep 21, 10:00 PM EDT