Tennis game preview

Matteo Arnaldi at Carlos Alcaraz

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsOct 2, 2026, 10:00 PM EDT
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 1, 7:49 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Matteo Arnaldi +733 and Carlos Alcaraz -733. FanDuel’s tracked +820 price on Matteo Arnaldi carries a 1.1% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Matteo Arnaldi+73312.0%+820FanDuel
Carlos Alcaraz-73388.0%——

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

Tennis

Matteo Arnaldi @ Carlos Alcaraz

+820FanDuel

Matteo Arnaldi Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.3%
Fair odds
+722
Starts
Oct 2, 10:00 PM EDT