NHL game preview

Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsOct 26, 2026, 8:40 PM EDT
Market coverage7 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 25, 3:32 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Toronto Maple Leafs 4.0–2.5 over Calgary Flames, a 1.5-goal margin. The consensus total is 6.5, with Calgary Flames +1.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Toronto Maple Leafs -144 and Calgary Flames +144. Polymarket’s tracked -130 price on Toronto Maple Leafs carries a 2.5% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Toronto Maple Leafs-14459.0%-130Polymarket
Calgary Flames+14441.0%——

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames

-130Polymarket

Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline

Estimated edge
2.0%
Fair odds
-141
Starts
Oct 26, 8:40 PM EDT
C

NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames

+105DraftKings

Under 6.5

Estimated edge
2.0%
Fair odds
-103
Starts
Oct 26, 8:40 PM EDT
C

NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames

-170FanDuel

Calgary Flames +1.5

Estimated edge
1.7%
Fair odds
-183
Starts
Oct 26, 8:40 PM EDT
D

NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames

-114FanDuel

Over 6.5

Estimated edge
1.1%
Fair odds
-119
Starts
Oct 26, 8:40 PM EDT