NHL game preview

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsSep 30, 2026, 7:30 PM EDT
Market coverage2 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 24, 3:56 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Philadelphia Flyers 3.5–2.0 over Pittsburgh Penguins, a 1.5-goal margin. The consensus total is 5.5, with Philadelphia Flyers -1.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Pittsburgh Penguins +122 and Philadelphia Flyers -122. Caesars’s tracked -125 price on Philadelphia Flyers carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Pittsburgh Penguins+12245.0%
Philadelphia Flyers-12255.0%-125Caesars

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers

-120BetMGM

Over 5.5

Estimated edge
1.8%
Fair odds
-129
Starts
Sep 30, 7:30 PM EDT
C

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers

-125Caesars

Philadelphia Flyers Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.3%
Fair odds
-132
Starts
Sep 30, 7:30 PM EDT