NFL game preview

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsNov 1, 2026, 4:25 PM EST
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 25, 11:06 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors New England Patriots 26.0–18.5 over Miami Dolphins, a 7.5-point margin. The consensus total is 44.5, with Miami Dolphins +7.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is New England Patriots -335 and Miami Dolphins +335. BetMGM’s tracked -375 price on New England Patriots carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
New England Patriots-33577.0%-375BetMGM
Miami Dolphins+33523.0%——

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

NFL

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins

-375BetMGM

New England Patriots Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.2%
Fair odds
-404
Starts
Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST