A
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
-104Polymarket
Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 3.2%
- Fair odds
- -118
- Starts
- Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
NFL game preview
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Game details
StartsNov 1, 2026, 4:25 PM EST
Market coverage4 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 26, 5:27 AM EDT
Market read
Matchup outlook
The market-implied score favors Kansas City Chiefs 21.6–20.1 over Denver Broncos, a 1.5-point margin. The consensus total is 41.7, with Denver Broncos +1.5 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is Kansas City Chiefs -117 and Denver Broncos +117. Polymarket’s tracked -104 price on Kansas City Chiefs carries a 2.9% estimated edge against that fair line.
Current fair value
Two-sided fair moneyline
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Kansas City Chiefs-11753.9%-104Polymarket
Denver Broncos+11746.1%+108Caesars
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Best current game edges
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.
B
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
+104Polymarket
Kansas City Chiefs -1.5
- Estimated edge
- 2.4%
- Fair odds
- -106
- Starts
- Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
C
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
+108Caesars
Denver Broncos Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 1.4%
- Fair odds
- +102
- Starts
- Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
D
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
-104Polymarket
Denver Broncos +1.5
- Estimated edge
- 0.9%
- Fair odds
- -108
- Starts
- Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST