College Basketball game preview

Toledo Rockets at Arkansas State Red Wolves

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsNov 2, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Market coverage4 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Nov 2, 4:33 AM EST

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Arkansas State Red Wolves 82.9–79.6 over Toledo Rockets, a 3.3-point margin. The consensus total is 162.5, with Arkansas State Red Wolves -3.3 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Toledo Rockets +150 and Arkansas State Red Wolves -150. BetMGM’s tracked +145 price on Toledo Rockets carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Toledo Rockets+15040.0%+145BetMGM
Arkansas State Red Wolves-15060.0%-165Caesars

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

NCAAB

Toledo Rockets @ Arkansas State Red Wolves

-105BetMGM

Under 162.5

Estimated edge
1.3%
Fair odds
-110
Starts
Nov 2, 8:00 PM EST
D

NCAAB

Toledo Rockets @ Arkansas State Red Wolves

-165Caesars

Arkansas State Red Wolves Moneyline

Estimated edge
0.9%
Fair odds
-171
Starts
Nov 2, 8:00 PM EST
D

NCAAB

Toledo Rockets @ Arkansas State Red Wolves

+145BetMGM

Toledo Rockets Moneyline

Estimated edge
0.9%
Fair odds
+140
Starts
Nov 2, 8:00 PM EST
D

NCAAB

Toledo Rockets @ Arkansas State Red Wolves

-105Fanatics

Toledo Rockets +3.5

Estimated edge
0.8%
Fair odds
-108
Starts
Nov 2, 8:00 PM EST