C
NBA
Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets
-277Polymarket
Houston Rockets Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- -295
- Starts
- Oct 21, 8:40 PM EDT
NBA game preview
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Game details
StartsOct 21, 2026, 8:40 PM EDT
Market coverage5 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 15, 9:25 AM EDT
Market read
Matchup outlook
The market-implied score favors Houston Rockets 118.3–110.1 over Dallas Mavericks, a 8.2-point margin. The consensus total is 228.4, with Houston Rockets -8.3 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is Dallas Mavericks +300 and Houston Rockets -300. Polymarket’s tracked -277 price on Houston Rockets carries a 1.5% estimated edge against that fair line.
Current fair value
Two-sided fair moneyline
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Dallas Mavericks+30025.0%——
Houston Rockets-30075.0%-277Polymarket
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Best current game edges
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.