MMA game preview

Tom Nolan at Renato Moicano

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsOct 31, 2026, 8:00 PM EDT
VenueMeta APEX · Las Vegas, NV, USA
Game-time weatherIndoor venue
Market coverage2 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 25, 2:12 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Tom Nolan -113 and Renato Moicano +113. DraftKings’s tracked +120 price on Renato Moicano carries a 1.5% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Tom Nolan-11353.0%-120BetMGM
Renato Moicano+11347.0%+120DraftKings

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

A

MMA

Tom Nolan @ Renato Moicano

+120DraftKings

Renato Moicano Moneyline

Estimated edge
3.3%
Fair odds
+105
Starts
Oct 31, 8:00 PM EDT
C

MMA

Tom Nolan @ Renato Moicano

-120BetMGM

Tom Nolan Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.6%
Fair odds
-128
Starts
Oct 31, 8:00 PM EDT