MMA game preview

Matthieu Duclos at Luis Felipe Dias

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsSep 5, 2026, 12:00 PM EDT
VenueAccor Arena · Paris, France
Game-time weatherIndoor venue
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 29, 1:05 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Matthieu Duclos -108 and Luis Felipe Dias +108. BetMGM’s tracked +105 price on Luis Felipe Dias carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Matthieu Duclos-10852.0%
Luis Felipe Dias+10848.0%+105BetMGM

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

MMA

Matthieu Duclos @ Luis Felipe Dias

+105BetMGM

Luis Felipe Dias Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.7%
Fair odds
-102
Starts
Sep 5, 12:00 PM EDT