MMA game preview

Long Xiao at Francesco Nuzzi

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsAug 29, 2026, 6:00 AM EDT
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 23, 9:40 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Long Xiao -163 and Francesco Nuzzi +163. BetMGM’s tracked +155 price on Francesco Nuzzi carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Long Xiao-16362.0%
Francesco Nuzzi+16338.0%+155BetMGM

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

D

MMA

Long Xiao @ Francesco Nuzzi

+155BetMGM

Francesco Nuzzi Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.1%
Fair odds
+148
Starts
Aug 29, 6:00 AM EDT