MMA game preview

Ismael Bonfim at Francisco Prado

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsOct 10, 2026, 8:00 PM EDT
VenueMeta APEX · Las Vegas, NV, USA
Game-time weatherIndoor venue
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 3, 9:39 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Ismael Bonfim -117 and Francisco Prado +117. DraftKings’s tracked +110 price on Francisco Prado carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Ismael Bonfim-11754.0%——
Francisco Prado+11746.0%+110DraftKings

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

MMA

Ismael Bonfim @ Francisco Prado

+110DraftKings

Francisco Prado Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.4%
Fair odds
+104
Starts
Oct 10, 8:00 PM EDT