MMA game preview

Heili Alateng at John Castaneda

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsSep 26, 2026, 6:00 PM EDT
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 20, 1:04 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Heili Alateng +245 and John Castaneda -245. DraftKings’s tracked +260 price on Heili Alateng carries a 1.2% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Heili Alateng+24529.0%+260DraftKings
John Castaneda-24571.0%

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

B

MMA

Heili Alateng @ John Castaneda

+260DraftKings

Heili Alateng Moneyline

Estimated edge
2.3%
Fair odds
+233
Starts
Sep 26, 6:00 PM EDT