MMA game preview

Guilherme Pat at Steven Asplund

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsAug 8, 2026, 8:00 PM EDT
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 2, 8:52 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Guilherme Pat +213 and Steven Asplund -212. DraftKings’s tracked +215 price on Guilherme Pat carries a 0.3% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Guilherme Pat+21332.0%+215DraftKings
Steven Asplund-21268.0%

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

MMA

Guilherme Pat @ Steven Asplund

+215DraftKings

Guilherme Pat Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.9%
Fair odds
+197
Starts
Aug 8, 8:00 PM EDT