MMA game preview

Daniil Donchenko at Punahele Soriano

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsSep 5, 2026, 12:00 PM EDT
VenueAccor Arena · Paris, France
Game-time weatherIndoor venue
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 29, 1:05 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Daniil Donchenko -186 and Punahele Soriano +186. BetMGM’s tracked +180 price on Punahele Soriano carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Daniil Donchenko-18665.0%
Punahele Soriano+18635.0%+180BetMGM

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

D

MMA

Daniil Donchenko @ Punahele Soriano

+180BetMGM

Punahele Soriano Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.1%
Fair odds
+172
Starts
Sep 5, 12:00 PM EDT