MMA game preview

Cristian Pérez at Kyle Nelson

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsOct 17, 2026, 10:00 PM EDT
VenueRogers Place · Edmonton, AB, Canada
Game-time weatherIndoor venue
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 11, 12:36 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Cristian Pérez -245 and Kyle Nelson +245. Caesars’s tracked +240 price on Kyle Nelson carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Cristian Pérez-24571.0%——
Kyle Nelson+24529.0%+240Caesars

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

D

MMA

Cristian Pérez @ Kyle Nelson

+240Caesars

Kyle Nelson Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.2%
Fair odds
+227
Starts
Oct 17, 10:00 PM EDT