MMA game preview

Caden Cox at Noah Hermosillo

two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsOct 16, 2026, 6:40 PM EDT
Market coverage1 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 15, 6:35 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The two-sided fair moneyline is Caden Cox +138 and Noah Hermosillo -138. BetMGM’s tracked +135 price on Caden Cox carries a 0.0% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Caden Cox+13842.0%+135BetMGM
Noah Hermosillo-13858.0%——

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

MMA

Caden Cox @ Noah Hermosillo

+135BetMGM

Caden Cox Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.9%
Fair odds
+125
Starts
Oct 16, 6:40 PM EDT