MLB game preview

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

Starts9/7 - 5:10 PM EDT
VenuePetco Park · San Diego, California
Game-time weather89°F · Intermittent cloudsRain 0% · Gusts 21 mph
Market coverage5 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 6, 11:37 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors San Diego Padres 4.9–3.4 over Washington Nationals, a 1.5-run margin. The consensus total is 8.2, with San Diego Padres -1.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Washington Nationals +186 and San Diego Padres -186. Polymarket’s tracked -174 price on San Diego Padres carries a 1.5% estimated edge against that fair line.

At Petco Park, the game-time forecast is 89°F and intermittent clouds, with a 0% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 21 mph.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Washington Nationals+18635.0%
San Diego Padres-18665.0%-174Polymarket

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

A

MLB

Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres

-105BetMGM

Under 8

Estimated edge
3.3%
Fair odds
-120
Starts
9/7 - 5:10 PM EDT
C

MLB

Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres

-174Polymarket

San Diego Padres Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.3%
Fair odds
-184
Starts
9/7 - 5:10 PM EDT