A
MLB
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
-115Polymarket
Under 1
- Estimated edge
- 11.7%
- Fair odds
- -187
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
MLB game preview
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Game details
Starts8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
VenueCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game-time weather83°F · Intermittent cloudsRain 49% · Gusts 8 mph
Market coverage33 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 5, 12:42 PM EDT
Market read
Matchup outlook
The market-implied score favors Philadelphia Phillies 5.5–4.0 over Washington Nationals, a 1.5-run margin. The consensus total is 9.5, with Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is Washington Nationals +194 and Philadelphia Phillies -194. Polymarket’s tracked +239 price on Washington Nationals carries a 4.5% estimated edge against that fair line.
At Citizens Bank Park, the game-time forecast is 83°F and intermittent clouds, with a 49% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 8 mph.
Current fair value
Two-sided fair moneyline
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Washington Nationals+19434.0%+239Polymarket
Philadelphia Phillies-19466.0%——
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Best current game edges
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.
A
MLB
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
+239Polymarket
Washington Nationals Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 4.1%
- Fair odds
- +198
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
Player markets
Current player prop edges
Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.
A
MLB
Trea Turner
+180BetMGM
Over 1.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.7%
- Fair odds
- +154
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
J.T. Realmuto
-175BetMGM
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.6%
- Fair odds
- -205
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Kyle Schwarber
-175BetMGM
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.3%
- Fair odds
- -202
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Jose Tena
+130theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.0%
- Fair odds
- +115
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Jorbit Vivas
+110theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.4%
- Fair odds
- +100
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Jacob Young
+115BetMGM
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.3%
- Fair odds
- +105
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Brandon Marsh
-220theScore
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.3%
- Fair odds
- -245
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Dylan Crews
-206DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.1%
- Fair odds
- -227
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Bryson Stott
+150theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.0%
- Fair odds
- +138
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Alec Bohm
+200theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.0%
- Fair odds
- +183
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
CJ Abrams
+175BetMGM
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.8%
- Fair odds
- +162
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Jake Irvin
+105BetMGM
Under 3.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- -102
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Keibert Ruiz
+170theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- +158
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Abimelec Ortiz
-173DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- -185
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Bryce Harper
+200theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- +187
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Nasim Nunez
+125theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.4%
- Fair odds
- +118
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Justin Crawford
-190BetMGM
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.3%
- Fair odds
- -201
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Andrew Painter
-170DraftKings
Under 4.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 1.3%
- Fair odds
- -180
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
F
MLB
Daylen Lile
-235BetMGM
Under 1.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 0.0%
- Fair odds
- -211
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
F
MLB
Luis Arraez
-190theScore
Under 1.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 0.0%
- Fair odds
- -185
- Starts
- 8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT