A
MLB
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians
+264Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 9.6%
- Fair odds
- +170
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
MLB game preview
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Game details
StartsOct 15, 2026, 6:00 PM EDT
Market coverage30 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Oct 14, 1:42 AM EDT
Market read
Matchup outlook
The market-implied score favors Cleveland Guardians 3.9–2.6 over Tampa Bay Rays, a 1.3-run margin. The consensus total is 6.6, with Cleveland Guardians -1.3 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is Tampa Bay Rays +170 and Cleveland Guardians -170. Polymarket’s tracked +264 price on Tampa Bay Rays carries a 9.5% estimated edge against that fair line.
Current fair value
Two-sided fair moneyline
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Tampa Bay Rays+17037.0%+264Polymarket
Cleveland Guardians-17063.0%——
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Best current game edges
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.
Player markets
Current player prop edges
Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.
B
MLB
Gavin Williams
-109DraftKings
Over 6.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 2.8%
- Fair odds
- -122
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
B
MLB
Griffin Jax
-150Fanatics
Under 1.5 pitcher earned runs
- Estimated edge
- 2.5%
- Fair odds
- -167
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
B
MLB
Liam Hicks
+115Hard Rock Bet
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.5%
- Fair odds
- +104
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
B
MLB
Jose Ramirez
-190theScore
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.3%
- Fair odds
- -211
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
B
MLB
Griffin Jax
-230Hard Rock Bet
Over 0.5 pitcher walks
- Estimated edge
- 2.1%
- Fair odds
- -255
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Griffin Jax
+100FanDuel
Under 3.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 1.9%
- Fair odds
- -108
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Taylor Walls
-125Hard Rock Bet
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.9%
- Fair odds
- -135
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Chase DeLauter
+142DraftKings
Over 1.5 total bases
- Estimated edge
- 1.8%
- Fair odds
- +132
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Jonny Deluca
+120Hard Rock Bet
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- +112
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Patrick Bailey
-125Hard Rock Bet
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- -133
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Victor Mesa Jr.
+105Hard Rock Bet
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- -101
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Griffin Jax
-115Hard Rock Bet
Under 11.5 pitcher outs
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- -122
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Gavin Williams
-138DraftKings
Under 1.5 pitcher walks
- Estimated edge
- 1.4%
- Fair odds
- -146
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Petey Halpin
-107betPARX
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.4%
- Fair odds
- -113
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Travis Bazzana
-145Hard Rock Bet
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.4%
- Fair odds
- -154
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Griffin Jax
+125Hard Rock Bet
Over 3.5 pitcher hits allowed
- Estimated edge
- 1.4%
- Fair odds
- +118
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Chase DeLauter
-214DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.3%
- Fair odds
- -227
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
C
MLB
Jo Adell
-182DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- -192
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
D
MLB
Chandler Simpson
+164DraftKings
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- +156
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
D
MLB
Richie Palacios
-104DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- -109
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
D
MLB
Gavin Williams
+107DraftKings
Over 1.5 pitcher earned runs
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- +102
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
D
MLB
Steven Kwan
-223DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.1%
- Fair odds
- -235
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT
D
MLB
Nathaniel Lowe
-151DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.1%
- Fair odds
- -158
- Starts
- Oct 15, 6:00 PM EDT