A
MLB
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks
-135Polymarket
Under 1
- Estimated edge
- 4.7%
- Fair odds
- -164
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
MLB game preview
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Game details
Starts8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
VenueChase Field · Phoenix, Arizona
Game-time weatherIndoor venue
Market coverage29 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 5, 12:42 PM EDT
Market read
Matchup outlook
The market-implied score favors San Diego Padres 5.0–3.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks, a 1.5-run margin. The consensus total is 8.6, with Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is San Diego Padres -113 and Arizona Diamondbacks +113. Polymarket’s tracked -102 price on San Diego Padres carries a 2.5% estimated edge against that fair line.
Current fair value
Two-sided fair moneyline
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
San Diego Padres-11353.0%-102Polymarket
Arizona Diamondbacks+11347.0%——
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Best current game edges
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.
B
MLB
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks
-102Polymarket
San Diego Padres Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 2.6%
- Fair odds
- -113
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
Player markets
Current player prop edges
Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.
A
MLB
James McCann
-135BetMGM
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.6%
- Fair odds
- -157
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Jackson Merrill
+205BetRivers
Over 1.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.2%
- Fair odds
- +178
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Geraldo Perdomo
-187DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.7%
- Fair odds
- -211
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Ketel Marte
-200theScore
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.4%
- Fair odds
- -223
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Ty France
+190theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.3%
- Fair odds
- +172
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Lars Nootbaar
+130theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.2%
- Fair odds
- +119
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Casey Mize
-119DraftKings
Under 4.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 2.2%
- Fair odds
- -130
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Nolan Arenado
+140theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.0%
- Fair odds
- +129
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Tim Tawa
-138DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.9%
- Fair odds
- -149
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Mitch Bratt
+125BetMGM
Over 3.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 1.9%
- Fair odds
- +116
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Max Kepler
+130theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.8%
- Fair odds
- +121
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Jase Bowen
-110BetMGM
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- -118
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Manny Machado
+190theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.6%
- Fair odds
- +177
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Corbin Carroll
-220theScore
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.6%
- Fair odds
- -237
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Luis Campusano
+140theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.6%
- Fair odds
- +131
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Luis Rengifo
+200theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.6%
- Fair odds
- +186
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Xander Bogaerts
+160theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- +150
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Ryan Waldschmidt
-125DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.3%
- Fair odds
- -132
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT
F
MLB
Fernando Tatis Jr.
-200theScore
Under 1.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 0.1%
- Fair odds
- -201
- Starts
- 8/5 - 9:40 PM EDT