B
MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
+113Polymarket
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 2.1%
- Fair odds
- +104
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
MLB game preview
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Game details
Starts8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
VenuePetco Park · San Diego, California
Game-time weather79°F · Mostly sunnyRain 0% · Gusts 10 mph
Market coverage39 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 24, 9:56 AM EDT
Market read
Matchup outlook
The market-implied score favors Pittsburgh Pirates 4.4–3.1 over San Diego Padres, a 1.3-run margin. The consensus total is 7.5, with San Diego Padres +1.3 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is Pittsburgh Pirates +104 and San Diego Padres -104. Polymarket’s tracked +113 price on Pittsburgh Pirates carries a 2.1% estimated edge against that fair line.
At Petco Park, the game-time forecast is 79°F and mostly sunny, with a 0% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 10 mph.
Current fair value
Two-sided fair moneyline
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Pittsburgh Pirates+10449.0%+113Polymarket
San Diego Padres-10451.0%——
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Best current game edges
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.
Player markets
Current player prop edges
Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.
A
MLB
Bryan Reynolds
+163betPARX
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 5.3%
- Fair odds
- +131
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Bryan Reynolds
+175BetMGM
Over 0.5 runs scored
- Estimated edge
- 5.0%
- Fair odds
- +142
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Esmerlyn Valdez
-135BetMGM
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 4.5%
- Fair odds
- -163
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Oneil Cruz
-120BetMGM
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 4.3%
- Fair odds
- -143
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Robbie Ray
+105BetMGM
Over 4.5 pitcher hits allowed
- Estimated edge
- 3.8%
- Fair odds
- -111
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Jake Mangum
+155betPARX
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.3%
- Fair odds
- +135
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Ty France
+160BetMGM
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.2%
- Fair odds
- +140
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
A
MLB
Nick Yorke
+150theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.1%
- Fair odds
- +132
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Nick Gonzales
+195betPARX
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.7%
- Fair odds
- +173
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Braxton Ashcraft
-150BetMGM
Under 5.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 2.4%
- Fair odds
- -166
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Rafael Flores
-105BetMGM
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.3%
- Fair odds
- -115
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Robbie Ray
+101DraftKings
Under 5.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 2.2%
- Fair odds
- -108
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Manny Machado
+150BetMGM
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.2%
- Fair odds
- +137
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Henry Davis
+100BetMGM
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.2%
- Fair odds
- -109
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Xander Bogaerts
+120theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.2%
- Fair odds
- +110
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B
MLB
Brandon Lowe
-135BetMGM
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.1%
- Fair odds
- -147
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Braxton Ashcraft
-160BetMGM
Over 17.5 pitcher outs
- Estimated edge
- 2.0%
- Fair odds
- -174
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Braxton Ashcraft
+110BetMGM
Over 5.5 pitcher hits allowed
- Estimated edge
- 1.9%
- Fair odds
- +102
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Gavin Sheets
+100theScore
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.9%
- Fair odds
- -108
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Jared Triolo
-105BetMGM
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.8%
- Fair odds
- -113
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Fernando Tatis Jr.
-250theScore
Under 1.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.8%
- Fair odds
- -273
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Luis Rengifo
-150theScore
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- -161
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C
MLB
Freddy Fermin
-112DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- -119
- Starts
- 8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT