B
MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
-105Fanatics
Under 8
- Estimated edge
- 2.9%
- Fair odds
- -118
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
MLB game preview
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Game details
Starts9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
VenueWrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois
Game-time weather76°F · Mostly sunnyRain 0% · Gusts 14 mph
Market coverage35 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 11, 6:19 AM EDT
Market read
Matchup outlook
The market-implied score favors Chicago Cubs 4.9–3.4 over Pittsburgh Pirates, a 1.5-run margin. The consensus total is 8.2, with Chicago Cubs -1.5 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is Pittsburgh Pirates +170 and Chicago Cubs -170. Polymarket’s tracked +182 price on Pittsburgh Pirates carries a 1.5% estimated edge against that fair line.
At Wrigley Field, the game-time forecast is 76°F and mostly sunny, with a 0% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 14 mph.
Current fair value
Two-sided fair moneyline
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Pittsburgh Pirates+17037.0%+182Polymarket
Chicago Cubs-17063.0%——
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Best current game edges
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.
D
MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
+182Polymarket
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 1.0%
- Fair odds
- +174
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
Player markets
Current player prop edges
Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.
A
MLB
Ian Happ
+145Fanatics
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 3.2%
- Fair odds
- +127
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
B
MLB
Pete Crow-Armstrong
+198DraftKings
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 2.2%
- Fair odds
- +180
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Wilber Dotel
+129DraftKings
Under 1.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 2.0%
- Fair odds
- +119
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Shota Imanaga
+114FanDuel
Over 6.5 pitcher strikeouts
- Estimated edge
- 1.8%
- Fair odds
- +106
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Wilber Dotel
-150Fanatics
Over 0.5 pitcher earned runs
- Estimated edge
- 1.8%
- Fair odds
- -162
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Esmerlyn Valdez
+120Hard Rock Bet
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- +112
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Nico Hoerner
-240DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- -261
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Michael Busch
-197DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- -213
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Jared Triolo
+104DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.7%
- Fair odds
- -103
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Oneil Cruz
+115Hard Rock Bet
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.6%
- Fair odds
- +108
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Alex Bregman
+180DraftKings
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.6%
- Fair odds
- +168
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Shota Imanaga
-156DraftKings
Under 2.5 pitcher earned runs
- Estimated edge
- 1.6%
- Fair odds
- -167
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Shota Imanaga
-106DraftKings
Over 1.5 pitcher walks
- Estimated edge
- 1.6%
- Fair odds
- -113
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Bryan Reynolds
+148DraftKings
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- +139
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Jake Mangum
-157DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- -167
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Brandon Lowe
-128DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- -136
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Shota Imanaga
-110DraftKings
Under 4.5 pitcher hits allowed
- Estimated edge
- 1.5%
- Fair odds
- -117
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Seiya Suzuki
-217DraftKings
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- -230
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
C
MLB
Wilber Dotel
+143DraftKings
Under 5.5 pitcher outs
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- +136
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
D
MLB
Michael Conforto
-125Hard Rock Bet
Over 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- -131
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
D
MLB
Nick Gonzales
+150DraftKings
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.2%
- Fair odds
- +143
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT
D
MLB
Konnor Griffin
+135Hard Rock Bet
Under 0.5 hits
- Estimated edge
- 1.1%
- Fair odds
- +129
- Starts
- 9/11 - 2:20 PM EDT