A
MLB
New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays
-122Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 3.4%
- Fair odds
- -140
- Starts
- 8/31 - 6:40 PM EDT
MLB game preview
New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Game details
Starts8/31 - 6:40 PM EDT
VenueTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida
Game-time weatherIndoor venue
Market coverage2 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 30, 1:26 PM EDT
Market read
Matchup outlook
The market-implied score favors Tampa Bay Rays 4.7–3.3 over New York Mets, a 1.4-run margin. The consensus total is 7.9, with Tampa Bay Rays -1.4 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is New York Mets +138 and Tampa Bay Rays -138. Polymarket’s tracked -122 price on Tampa Bay Rays carries a 3.0% estimated edge against that fair line.
Current fair value
Two-sided fair moneyline
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
New York Mets+13842.0%——
Tampa Bay Rays-13858.0%-122Polymarket
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Best current game edges
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.