MLB game preview

New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

Starts8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
VenueProgressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio
Game-time weather77°F · Intermittent cloudsRain 19% · Gusts 9 mph
Market coverage33 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 5, 12:42 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors New York Mets 4.5–3.3 over Cleveland Guardians, a 1.2-run margin. The consensus total is 7.7, with Cleveland Guardians +1.2 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is New York Mets +108 and Cleveland Guardians -108. Kalshi’s tracked +117 price on New York Mets carries a 1.9% estimated edge against that fair line.

At Progressive Field, the game-time forecast is 77°F and intermittent clouds, with a 19% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 9 mph.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
New York Mets+10848.0%+117Kalshi
Cleveland Guardians-10852.0%——

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

MLB

New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians

+117Kalshi

New York Mets Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.8%
Fair odds
+109
Starts
8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
Game details

Player markets

Current player prop edges

Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.

B

MLB

Tanner Bibee

-115FanDuel

Over 4.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
2.5%
Fair odds
-127
Starts
8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
Player detailsGame details
B

MLB

Christian Scott

+128FanDuel

Over 5.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
2.4%
Fair odds
+116
Starts
8/5 - 6:40 PM EDT
Player detailsGame details