MLB
Houston Astros @ New York Mets
Houston Astros Moneyline
- Estimated edge
- 4.2%
- Fair odds
- -101
- Starts
- 8/28 - 7:10 PM EDT
MLB game preview
projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.
Market read
The market-implied score favors Houston Astros 4.6–3.2 over New York Mets, a 1.4-run margin. The consensus total is 7.8, with New York Mets +1.4 at home.
The two-sided fair moneyline is Houston Astros -100 and New York Mets -100. Polymarket’s tracked +117 price on Houston Astros carries a 3.9% estimated edge against that fair line.
At Citi Field, the game-time forecast is 77°F and partly sunny, with a 49% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 7 mph.
Current fair value
Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.
Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.
Current market
Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.
MLB
Houston Astros Moneyline
MLB
Over 8