MLB game preview

Houston Astros at New York Mets

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

Starts8/28 - 7:10 PM EDT
VenueCiti Field · Queens, New York
Game-time weather77°F · Partly sunnyRain 49% · Gusts 7 mph
Market coverage4 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 27, 6:54 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Houston Astros 4.6–3.2 over New York Mets, a 1.4-run margin. The consensus total is 7.8, with New York Mets +1.4 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Houston Astros -100 and New York Mets -100. Polymarket’s tracked +117 price on Houston Astros carries a 3.9% estimated edge against that fair line.

At Citi Field, the game-time forecast is 77°F and partly sunny, with a 49% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 7 mph.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Houston Astros-10050.0%+117Polymarket
New York Mets-10050.0%

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

A

MLB

Houston Astros @ New York Mets

+117Polymarket

Houston Astros Moneyline

Estimated edge
4.2%
Fair odds
-101
Starts
8/28 - 7:10 PM EDT
A

MLB

Houston Astros @ New York Mets

+100FanDuel

Over 8

Estimated edge
3.1%
Fair odds
-113
Starts
8/28 - 7:10 PM EDT