MLB game preview

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

Starts9/4 - 2:10 PM EDT
VenueProgressive Field · Cleveland, Ohio
Game-time weather81°F · Intermittent cloudsRain 40% · Gusts 12 mph
Market coverage19 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 3, 8:52 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Cleveland Guardians 5.0–3.5 over Detroit Tigers, a 1.5-run margin. The consensus total is 8.5, with Cleveland Guardians -1.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Detroit Tigers +113 and Cleveland Guardians -113. Caesars’s tracked +120 price on Detroit Tigers carries a 1.5% estimated edge against that fair line.

At Progressive Field, the game-time forecast is 81°F and intermittent clouds, with a 40% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 12 mph.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Detroit Tigers+11347.0%+120Caesars
Cleveland Guardians-11353.0%

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

MLB

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

+120Caesars

Detroit Tigers Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.3%
Fair odds
+114
Starts
9/4 - 2:10 PM EDT

Player markets

Current player prop edges

Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.

C

MLB

Keider Montero

+120DraftKings

Over 3.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
1.7%
Fair odds
+112
Starts
9/4 - 2:10 PM EDT
C

MLB

Logan Allen

+130Hard Rock Bet

Under 2.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
1.6%
Fair odds
+122
Starts
9/4 - 2:10 PM EDT
C

MLB

Eduardo Valencia

+120Hard Rock Bet

Under 0.5 hits

Estimated edge
1.3%
Fair odds
+114
Starts
9/4 - 2:10 PM EDT
D

MLB

Keider Montero

-105DraftKings

Over 15.5 pitcher outs

Estimated edge
1.2%
Fair odds
-110
Starts
9/4 - 2:10 PM EDT
D

MLB

Kevin McGonigle

+135Hard Rock Bet

Under 0.5 hits

Estimated edge
1.1%
Fair odds
+129
Starts
9/4 - 2:10 PM EDT