MLB game preview

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsSep 22, 2026, 6:46 PM EDT
Market coverage5 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 21, 3:14 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Boston Red Sox 4.1–2.7 over Cleveland Guardians, a 1.4-run margin. The consensus total is 6.8, with Boston Red Sox -1.4 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Cleveland Guardians +108 and Boston Red Sox -108. FanDuel’s tracked +110 price on Cleveland Guardians carries a 0.4% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Cleveland Guardians+10848.0%+110FanDuel
Boston Red Sox-10852.0%

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

A

MLB

Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox

+102DraftKings

Over 7

Estimated edge
5.9%
Fair odds
-124
Starts
Sep 22, 6:46 PM EDT
D

MLB

Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox

+110FanDuel

Cleveland Guardians Moneyline

Estimated edge
0.7%
Fair odds
+107
Starts
Sep 22, 6:46 PM EDT

Player markets

Current player prop edges

Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.

D

MLB

Parker Messick

-105Fanatics

Over 17.5 pitcher outs

Estimated edge
1.2%
Fair odds
-110
Starts
Sep 22, 6:46 PM EDT
D

MLB

Parker Messick

-115Fanatics

Under 4.5 pitcher hits allowed

Estimated edge
1.1%
Fair odds
-120
Starts
Sep 22, 6:46 PM EDT