MLB game preview

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

Starts8/5 - 7:10 PM EDT
VenueFenway Park · Boston, Massachusetts
Game-time weather83°F · Intermittent cloudsRain 0% · Gusts 18 mph
Market coverage40 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 5, 12:36 PM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Boston Red Sox 4.9–3.4 over Chicago White Sox, a 1.5-run margin. The consensus total is 8.3, with Boston Red Sox -1.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Chicago White Sox +133 and Boston Red Sox -133. Polymarket’s tracked -120 price on Boston Red Sox carries a 2.5% estimated edge against that fair line.

At Fenway Park, the game-time forecast is 83°F and intermittent clouds, with a 0% chance of precipitation and gusts up to 18 mph.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Chicago White Sox+13343.0%
Boston Red Sox-13357.0%-120Polymarket

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

MLB

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

-120Polymarket

Boston Red Sox Moneyline

Estimated edge
2.0%
Fair odds
-130
Starts
8/5 - 7:10 PM EDT

Player markets

Current player prop edges

Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.

B

MLB

Sean Burke

-146DraftKings

Under 6.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
2.6%
Fair odds
-163
Starts
8/5 - 7:10 PM EDT
B

MLB

Sonny Gray

-133DraftKings

Under 5.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
2.6%
Fair odds
-148
Starts
8/5 - 7:10 PM EDT