MLB game preview

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

StartsSep 18, 2026, 6:41 PM EDT
Market coverage29 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Sep 18, 1:33 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Chicago Cubs 5.0–3.6 over Cincinnati Reds, a 1.4-run margin. The consensus total is 8.6, with Cincinnati Reds +1.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Chicago Cubs -113 and Cincinnati Reds +113. Polymarket’s tracked +120 price on Cincinnati Reds carries a 1.5% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Chicago Cubs-11353.0%
Cincinnati Reds+11347.0%+120Polymarket

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

C

MLB

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

+120Polymarket

Cincinnati Reds Moneyline

Estimated edge
1.7%
Fair odds
+112
Starts
Sep 18, 6:41 PM EDT

Player markets

Current player prop edges

Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.

A

MLB

Chase Burns

+130FanDuel

Under 3.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
4.1%
Fair odds
+110
Starts
Sep 18, 6:41 PM EDT
A

MLB

Tyler Stephenson

-180theScore

Over 0.5 total bases

Estimated edge
3.1%
Fair odds
-207
Starts
Sep 18, 6:41 PM EDT
B

MLB

Clay Holmes

+102FanDuel

Over 4.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
2.2%
Fair odds
-107
Starts
Sep 18, 6:41 PM EDT
B

MLB

Pete Crow-Armstrong

-240theScore

Over 0.5 hits

Estimated edge
2.2%
Fair odds
-267
Starts
Sep 18, 6:41 PM EDT
C

MLB

Clay Holmes

-110DraftKings

Over 15.5 pitcher outs

Estimated edge
2.0%
Fair odds
-119
Starts
Sep 18, 6:41 PM EDT
D

MLB

Chase Burns

-115Hard Rock Bet

Over 2.5 pitcher hits allowed

Estimated edge
1.1%
Fair odds
-120
Starts
Sep 18, 6:41 PM EDT