MLB game preview

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks

projected score, two-sided fair odds, available venue conditions, and current value for this matchup.

Game details

Starts8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
VenueChase Field · Phoenix, Arizona
Game-time weatherIndoor venue
Market coverage42 tracked opportunitiesUpdated Aug 24, 9:56 AM EDT

Market read

Matchup outlook

The market-implied score favors Chicago Cubs 5.2–3.7 over Arizona Diamondbacks, a 1.5-run margin. The consensus total is 9.0, with Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 at home.

The two-sided fair moneyline is Chicago Cubs -122 and Arizona Diamondbacks +122. Polymarket’s tracked -111 price on Chicago Cubs carries a 2.4% estimated edge against that fair line.

Current fair value

Two-sided fair moneyline

Edge’s no-vig win probabilities are shown as a fair price for each team.

SelectionFair oddsFair win chanceTracked priceBook
Chicago Cubs-12255.0%-111Polymarket
Arizona Diamondbacks+12245.0%

Tracked sportsbook prices appear only when Edge has identified a current value opportunity. Missing prices are not estimated.

Current market

Best current game edges

Compare the current tracked price with Edge’s fair estimate. Sportsbook prices can move quickly.

A

MLB

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

+120Hard Rock Bet

Under 8.5

Estimated edge
6.5%
Fair odds
-108
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B

MLB

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

-111Polymarket

Chicago Cubs Moneyline

Estimated edge
2.3%
Fair odds
-122
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT

Player markets

Current player prop edges

Confirm player availability and the latest line before placing a bet.

A

MLB

Kevin Gausman

+135theScore

Over 5.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
3.1%
Fair odds
+119
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B

MLB

Merrill Kelly

+110BetMGM

Over 5.5 pitcher hits allowed

Estimated edge
2.9%
Fair odds
-102
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
B

MLB

Merrill Kelly

-165BetMGM

Under 4.5 pitcher strikeouts

Estimated edge
2.1%
Fair odds
-181
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C

MLB

Kevin Gausman

-141DraftKings

Over 4.5 pitcher hits allowed

Estimated edge
1.8%
Fair odds
-152
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C

MLB

Merrill Kelly

+100Hard Rock Bet

Under 2.5 pitcher earned runs

Estimated edge
1.5%
Fair odds
-106
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C

MLB

Kevin Gausman

-118DraftKings

Over 16.5 pitcher outs

Estimated edge
1.4%
Fair odds
-125
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT
C

MLB

Merrill Kelly

-104betPARX

Under 15.5 pitcher outs

Estimated edge
1.4%
Fair odds
-110
Starts
8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT